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Serie A

Referee: M Marchetti

Verona

T T U U T

2–2

Full-time

Bologna

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 30%

31%

28%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

44%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Verona 10. · Bologna 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	37	27	7	3	+50	88
2	Atalanta	37	23	9	5	+45	78
3	Napoli	37	24	4	9	+45	76
4	Milan	37	23	7	7	+31	76
5	Juventus	37	22	9	6	+36	75
6	Lazio	36	21	4	11	+8	67
7	Roma	37	18	7	12	+10	61
8	Sassuolo	37	16	11	10	+6	59
9	Sampdoria	37	14	7	16	-5	49
10	Verona	36	11	10	15	-2	43
11	Bologna	36	10	10	16	-11	40
12	Udinese	37	10	10	17	-12	40
13	Fiorentina	37	9	12	16	-12	39
14	Genoa	37	9	12	16	-12	39
15	Spezia	37	9	11	17	-20	38
16	Cagliari	37	9	10	18	-15	37
17	Torino	36	7	14	15	-19	35
18	Benevento	37	7	11	19	-35	32
19	Crotone	37	6	4	27	-47	22
20	Parma	37	3	11	23	-41	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	18	16	1	1	+31	49
2	Juventus	19	14	2	3	+22	44
3	Roma	19	13	4	2	+24	43
4	Lazio	18	13	2	3	+13	41
5	Napoli	18	12	3	3	+30	39
6	Atalanta	18	12	3	3	+27	39
7	Milan	19	8	6	5	+7	30
8	Sampdoria	18	8	3	7	+3	27
9	Bologna	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Sassuolo	18	6	8	4	+2	26
11	Fiorentina	19	6	6	7	+0	24
12	Verona	18	6	5	7	+0	23
13	Genoa	19	5	7	7	-1	22
14	Spezia	18	5	6	7	-5	21
15	Udinese	19	5	4	10	-5	19
16	Cagliari	18	5	4	9	-9	19
17	Torino	18	3	8	7	-11	17
18	Crotone	18	5	1	12	-12	16
19	Benevento	19	2	7	10	-20	13
20	Parma	19	2	5	12	-23	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	18	15	1	2	+24	46
2	Inter	19	11	6	2	+19	39
3	Atalanta	19	11	6	2	+18	39
4	Napoli	19	12	1	6	+15	37
5	Sassuolo	19	10	3	6	+4	33
6	Juventus	18	8	7	3	+14	31
7	Lazio	18	8	2	8	-5	26
8	Sampdoria	19	6	4	9	-8	22
9	Udinese	18	5	6	7	-7	21
10	Verona	18	5	5	8	-2	20
11	Benevento	18	5	4	9	-15	19
12	Cagliari	19	4	6	9	-6	18
13	Torino	18	4	6	8	-8	18
14	Roma	18	5	3	10	-14	18
15	Genoa	18	4	5	9	-11	17
16	Spezia	19	4	5	10	-15	17
17	Fiorentina	18	3	6	9	-12	15
18	Bologna	18	3	5	10	-14	14
19	Parma	18	1	6	11	-18	9
20	Crotone	19	1	3	15	-35	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.