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Coupe de France
Referee: A Degand
ASS Still Mutzig
1–0
Full-time
Illkirch Graffenstaden

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Red Star 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 SA Mérignac 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 La Roche VF 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Caen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Istres 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Mâcon 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Saint-Denis 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Orleans 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Boulogne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Colmar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Thionville Lusitanos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Nancy 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Versailles 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Calais Beau-Marais 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Thaon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Concarneau 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Ginglin Cesson 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Cannes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Chasselay MDA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Angoulême 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Gallia Lucciana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Le Mans 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 RC Saint Joseph 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 La Roche sur Yon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Beauvais 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Rumilly Vallières 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Cluses-Scionzier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Haguenau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Valence FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Colomiers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Vierzon FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Dragon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Cesson 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 TA Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Grenoble 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Villefranche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Amiens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Agde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Romorantin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Raon l'Etape 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Biesheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Corte 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Saint-Pierre Milizac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Dinan Léhon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Montagnarde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Tours 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Saint-Lô Manche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Stade Béthunois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Dunkerque 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Crépy-en-Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Diables Noirs 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Pays de Cassel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Vannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Samaritaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Vendée Fontenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Marboz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Blenod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Marignane 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Stade Beaucairois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Epinal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Grandvillars 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Sablé 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Gueugnon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Canet Roussillon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Foron 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 AC Paris 15 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Alençon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Ruffiac Malestroit 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Arras 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Comtal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Grau-du-Roi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Niort 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Thouars 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 FCSR Obernai 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Feytiat 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Nousseviller 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Boulay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 C' Chartres 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 Freyming 1 0 0 1 -4 0
119 Cannet Rocheville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
120 Guéreins Genouilleux 1 0 0 1 -4 0
121 St-Just St-Rambert 1 0 0 1 -4 0
122 Vesoul 1 0 0 1 -5 0
123 Serquigny Nassandres 1 0 0 1 -5 0
124 Haubourdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0
125 St-Philbert Réorthe JA 1 0 0 1 -6 0
126 Olympique Cazaux 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ASS Still Mutzig Illkirch Graffenstaden
0–1 J. Obosso ⚽
own goal
31′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Q. Hauswald
↦ R. Hertrich
70′
🔁 J. Badione
↦ M. Ghmimat
J. Fricker 🔁
↦ M. Welschinger
73′
L. Bodein 🔁
↦ L. Meyer
77′
A. Schaller 🔁
↦ F. Loos
87′
87′
🔁 C. Schwartz
↦ Y. NToke
87′
🔁 H. Martinez
↦ E. Sahakyan
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

ASS Still Mutzig

C. Bertaux
V. Haussmann
A. Schaller
M. Di Palo
A. Charlier
L. Herrmann
G. Bertaux
L. Meyer
M. Welschinger
T. Schall
F. Loos
Bench (7)
J. Fricker
L. Bodein
A. Schaller
L. Bertaux
P. Rakotoharisoa
R. Buhl
S. Schwartz

Coach: J. Duguépéroux

Illkirch Graffenstaden

R. André
M. Godel
C. Robin
J. Obosso
H. Zehri
Y. N'Toke
R. Hertrich
E. Sahakyan
M. Ghmimat
N. Solvet
B. Weiss
Bench (7)
Q. Hauswald
J. Badione
C. Schwartz
H. Martinez
E. Kihoulou
L. Wunderlich
S. Monti

Coach: S. Stamm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.