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Coppa Italia
Referee: D Ghersini
Juventus
S S U S S
6–1
Full-time
Salernitana
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Salernitana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 2
12 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 1
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Bologna 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Parma 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Salernitana 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Reggiana 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Cremonese 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Genoa 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Cagliari 3 2 0 1 -1 6
9 Sassuolo 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Milan 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +2 3
12 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Torino 2 1 0 1 +0 3
16 FeralpiSalo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
17 Verona 2 1 0 1 +0 3
18 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 +0 3
19 Lecce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
20 Catanzaro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
21 Spezia 2 0 2 0 +0 2
22 Fiorentina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Venezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Cesena 2 0 1 1 -2 1
27 Sampdoria 2 0 1 1 -4 1
28 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Palermo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Inter 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Monza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Vicenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Como 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Foggia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Ascoli 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Cosenza 1 0 0 1 -3 0
41 Bari 1 0 0 1 -3 0
42 Pescara 1 0 0 1 -4 0
43 Napoli 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Salernitana
1′
C. Ikwuemesi 0–1
1–1 F. Miretti
A. Cambiaso
12′
Federico Gatti ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
19′
2–1 A. Cambiaso
Danilo
34′
40′
🟨 Giulio Maggiore
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 N. Gyömbér
↦ T. Stewart
46′
🔁 D. Bradarić
↦ G. Maggiore
3–1 D. Rugani
54′
56′
🔁 A. Sfait
↦ L. Tchaouna
56′
🔁 S. Nwankwo
↦ E. Botheim
K. Yıldız 🔁
↦ F. Chiesa
66′
T. Weah 🔁
↦ S. Iling-Junior
66′
3–2 D. Bronn
own goal
75′
J. Nonge Boende 🔁
↦ F. Miretti
76′
D. Vlahović 🔁
↦ A. Milik
76′
77′
🔁 C. Borrelli
↦ M. Łęgowski
F. Kostić 🔁
↦ A. Cambiaso
83′
4–2 K. Yıldız
Danilo
88′
5–2 T. Weah
M. Locatelli
91′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Juventus

3-5-2
36 M. Perin G
4 F. Gatti D
24 D. Rugani D
6 Danilo D
27 A. Cambiaso M
20 F. Miretti M
5 M. Locatelli M
25 A. Rabiot M
17 S. Iling-Junior M
14 A. Milik F
7 F. Chiesa F
Bench (12)
15 K. Yıldız
22 T. Weah
47 J. Nonge Boende
9 D. Vlahović
11 F. Kostić
41 H. Nicolussi
44 T. Muharemović
1 W. Szczęsny
23 C. Pinsoglio
16 W. McKennie
13 D. Huijsen
3 Bremer

Coach: M. Allegri

Salernitana

4-2-3-1
1 V. Fiorillo G
5 F. Daniliuc D
66 M. Lovato D
28 D. Bronn D
6 J. Sambia D
25 G. Maggiore M
99 M. Łęgowski M
33 L. Tchaouna M
11 E. Botheim M
19 T. Stewart M
22 C. Ikwuemesi F
Bench (9)
23 N. Gyömbér
3 D. Bradarić
36 A. Sfait
9 S. Nwankwo
51 C. Borrelli
40 E. Elia
62 P. Allocca
56 B. Costil
17 F. Fazio

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.