Coppa Italia
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Juventus
Salernitana
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Frosinone
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 |
Bologna
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 |
Parma
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 |
Salernitana
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 |
Reggiana
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 |
Cremonese
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 |
Genoa
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 8 |
Cagliari
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 |
Sassuolo
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |
Milan
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Atalanta
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 |
Roma
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Lazio
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Torino
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 16 |
FeralpiSalo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 17 |
Verona
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 18 |
Cittadella
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 19 |
Lecce
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 |
Catanzaro
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 |
Spezia
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 22 |
Fiorentina
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 23 |
Venezia
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 24 |
Virtus Entella
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 25 |
Sudtirol
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 26 |
Cesena
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 27 |
Sampdoria
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 28 |
Modena
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Palermo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Empoli
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Monza
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Vicenza
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Como
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Ternana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Pisa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 37 |
Foggia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 38 |
Ascoli
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 39 |
Crotone
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 40 |
Cosenza
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 41 |
Bari
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 42 |
Pescara
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 43 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Perin
G
F. Gatti
D
D. Rugani
D
A. Cambiaso
M
F. Miretti
M
M. Locatelli
M
A. Rabiot
M
S. Iling-Junior
M
A. Milik
F
Coach: M. Allegri
V. Fiorillo
G
F. Daniliuc
D
J. Sambia
D
M. Łęgowski
M
L. Tchaouna
M
E. Botheim
M
T. Stewart
M
C. Ikwuemesi
F
Coach: F. Inzaghi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Juventus
Roma
Frosinone
Juventus
Genoa
Juventus
Juventus
Napoli
Monza
Juventus
D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.